文明破晓 (English Translation)

— "This world needs a more advanced form of civilization"

The Campaign (16)

Volume 6: Great Depression Era · Chapter 76

The US election is not "one person, one vote," but ultimately depends on the total electoral votes. The vast majority of US states adopt a winner-takes-all model. Even if the ratio of votes in a certain state is 50.1:49.9, all the electoral votes of that state belong to the winner.

In the general election of November 1932, the number of votes between incumbent President Hoover and Democratic candidate Roosevelt was quite close. Even after half the votes were counted, the gap could not be widened. Hoover finally began to feel a little hope; he might win the election. After serving one term as president, Hoover knew very well what problems he would face if he were re-elected; it would be a torment worse than death. But Hoover was willing to do it for another four years because in these four years, he still had a chance to restore his reputation.

In Roosevelt's campaign headquarters, the young campaign staff had an unconcealable anxiety in their expressions. Roosevelt was not excited; he believed that the US government management needed a comprehensive change, and people like Hoover were completely incapable of implementing such changes. The US upper class that Roosevelt had met recently all agreed with Roosevelt's views without exception, which gave Roosevelt more confidence.

But the election results were not as optimistic as Roosevelt had thought. As the statistical results of each state came out, his and Hoover's vote counts fluctuated against each other. Until there were data from only three states left, Hoover was actually slightly ahead. Now, even Roosevelt felt a little shaken. According to the current situation, if Hoover could win two of the next three states, he would be re-elected.

At this time, the atmosphere inside the Chinese Embassy in the US was very active. If the incumbent President Hoover were re-elected, it would not be a bad thing for China. However, everyone was truly surprised why such a useless guy actually had the possibility of re-election, and everyone couldn't help discussing it.

Some people thought that this was because Hoover was good at hype, maximizing the news of China purchasing grain from the US. More people did not agree. Although China's influence on the US election views was indeed very pleasing, this amount of trade volume was simply not enough to reverse the US economic situation.

At this time, someone put forward a view, "Maybe Americans care too much about their own way of life, so they are very worried that Roosevelt, a guy called a Communist, will completely change the American way of life."

Some comrades were very unhappy with this statement. The US is indeed very free, but this free lifestyle conflicts greatly with traditional Chinese culture. Under China's political model, freedom must give way to a strong government. Only a strong and efficient government can ensure the powerful execution of policies and promote benevolent governance.

But in the next half hour or so, the election results of the three states came out. Two states supported Roosevelt, and one state supported Hoover. In the end, Roosevelt won the election with a very small margin.

Now the Chinese Embassy in the US didn't have time to discuss the results; the urgent task now was to immediately send the news back to the country. At this time, He Rui hadn't slept either. The changes in the US election made He Rui pay close attention, so he simply didn't sleep. Staying up late writing a book, just waiting for the news to come.

Seeing the final result, He Rui was also very surprised. Roosevelt almost lost to Hoover; the narrow margin meant that the level of expectation Roosevelt received was far less than in history. Thinking about it again, He Rui also felt that this result was not without reason.

Historically, the Great Depression in the US directly triggered a global economic crisis, and the global market was in a depression. Conversely, it also aggravated the economic crisis in the US.

In 1932, the global population was about 2 billion. The East Asia League had 720 million people, plus nearly 200 million people in the Soviet Union and France, 920 million people accounted for almost half of the world. The economies of the East Asia League, the Soviet Union, and France, where these 920 million people were located, were all very good. Although Europe and America blockaded the Soviet Union, and France adopted trade barriers against European and American countries for its own interests, the consumption power of 920 million people was rising rapidly, which still had a huge impact on the world economy.

Therefore, the overall economic situation in the US was terrible, but the economy of the US West Coast had recovered. Plus, China's large-scale purchase of US grain also pulled up the economy of the central states of the US. At this time, Roosevelt's title of "Communist" might not necessarily be beneficial to Roosevelt; instead, it would make those agricultural states and the West Coast states very uneasy.

The better China develops, the lower the probability of Roosevelt, representing the US reform forces, being elected. Thinking of this, He Rui couldn't help but feel some sympathy for Roosevelt. The reason whether this great US president could be elected actually showed an inverse relationship with China's economic development level; it was really interesting. Would China's economic development level also have a similar relationship with the difficulty of Roosevelt's governance?

Standing up and walking to the washroom, He Rui stretched a big lazy waist as he walked. For a moment, He Rui actually lost his sleepiness. Standing under the shower head, He Rui became more energetic as he washed. After showering, he brushed his teeth. When he arrived at the bedroom door refreshed, He Rui didn't push the door open, but walked back to the study in his pajamas.

Lying on the soft recliner in the study, the changes in international forces ebbing and flowing hovered in He Rui's mind. Although the US is powerful, the US is not some "City upon a Hill"; its influence is just the result of the balance of power. Now it is the end of November 1932. According to estimates, China's GDP in '32 is about 150 billion Chinese Yuan. At the current exchange rate of 1:15 between the US dollar and the Chinese Yuan, China's GDP is about 10 billion US dollars. Far less than the US GDP of about 60 billion.

Even so, as the world's fastest-growing economy, China has already influenced the US general election relying on strong domestic demand. This reality is also very shocking to He Rui. China's domestic demand will continue to increase rapidly. By the time the war breaks out in 1939, China's influence on the world will be greater than it is now. The influence of the economy on the world is all-encompassing, and its power is even above war.

Thinking and thinking, He Rui fell asleep unknowingly.

Dawn broke. The Chinese editors who also waited for the US election results had already confirmed the newspaper layout. The news of Roosevelt's election as US president had already been published. This was Li Runshi's request. The reputation of European and American newspapers largely lies in their ability to get first-hand information. For Chinese newspapers to compete with these established media, they must first ensure news speed on major international events.

This influence is subtle. Just like most Chinese readers, even if they saw Roosevelt elected, they didn't pay special attention. He Rui never advocated that the Chinese people hang his portrait at home, but He Rui advocated that every Chinese family should stick a world map and a map of China on the wall. So now most urban families have world maps, and some urban families even have globes inside.

Any Chinese who doesn't understand where the US is has no interest in the US changing presidents. Most Chinese who know where the US is also have no interest. Separated by such a vast Pacific Ocean, the US is so distant that it makes Chinese people feel numb. Among the very few Chinese interested in this matter, quite a few are teenagers studying how to travel around the world or conquer the world routes facing the globe.

Those Chinese who really deal with the US have long paid attention to Roosevelt's election platform introduced in the newspapers. Whether it is Roosevelt or Hoover, they both uphold the view of expanding trade with China and maintaining Sino-US friendly relations. As long as Roosevelt's election does not mean a war between China and the US, everyone doesn't care about the US changing presidents.

Compared with the news from the US, many Chinese care more about the news of the German Nazis. The relationship between China and France is now far more important than the Sino-US relationship. As long as one understands France, one naturally knows the contradiction between Germany and France. At this time, the Chinese media had already begun to introduce the Nazi racist theory, making the Chinese youth who had restored their national self-confidence very disgusted with Germany's theory of racial superiority.

Even if some radical youth relatively agreed with this set of Nazi views, these youth did not agree with the view that the Germanic people were the best nation in the world. Regarding European countries, the only one that Chinese radical youth could look up to was Italy. And it was those black-haired Roman descendants in southern Italy. Anyone with yellow hair, red hair, or other hair colors was a barbarian. Also being radicals, Chinese radical youth believed that the best nation in the world must of course be the Chinese nation. What is a group of Germanic barbarians pretending to be!

If the little mustache Hitler heard this, he would probably just smile calmly. When he was very young, the little mustache understood that there was nothing to talk about with people who had no knowledge. The ideas of those shallow people are mediocre and have no depth, just repeating the vulgar people's bit of views they can understand. These people don't even truly understand their own ideas. For these people, the little mustache always chooses to listen and will not get angry.

The little mustache didn't know much about Roosevelt, and the current priority was to get the support of the German upper class as soon as possible. The current German President Hindenburg always used "Bohemian Corporal" contemptuously to describe Hitler when mentioning him. When someone suggested Hindenburg appoint the little mustache as chancellor, Hindenburg said contemptuously: "This Bohemian Corporal is only fit to be the Minister of Posts. His daily job is to lick the back of my stamps when pasting stamps."

Facing such a stubborn old man, the little mustache visited big German capitalists every day. The Junker grand aristocrats did not like to see Hitler because they all knew that the Nazi Party almost supported the proposal to confiscate the land of the German Junker aristocrats. Even if Göring, who had received the "Blue Max" (Pour le Mérite), Germany's highest medal, took his beloved wife from an aristocratic background to constantly shuttle between the grand aristocrats, conveying various goodwill messages from the little mustache, the Junker grand aristocrats still had great wariness towards the little mustache.

Instead, the small and medium Junker aristocrats were more willing to contact Hitler. These aristocrats' aversion to socialism was not particularly great, but they very much appreciated the little mustache's concepts of national revenge, getting rid of the shackles of the Treaty of Versailles, and fighting for living space (Lebensraum).

In order to get support, the little mustache was working hard every day. Until he suddenly heard the news of the suicide of his niece and mistress...